The portal

    One portal for the questions that move markets.

    Proprietary models, live dashboards and a daily brief — organised around the six questions investors ask every day.

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    Inside the portal

    Look inside the portal.

    Real screens from the portal, with live model output.

    Decision Desk: where to focus, with favour, underweight and watch candidates
    Decision Desk: the leading opportunities and areas of caution, each with the evidence for and against. Screen captured with data as of 8 October 2026.
    Flow simulator: likely trend-follower flows over the next ten sessions by market
    Flow simulator: how trend followers are likely to trade over the next ten sessions, market by market. Screen captured with data as of 8 October 2026.
    Flow simulator detail: distribution of likely flows and flow by price level
    Flow simulator detail: the full distribution of likely flows, and how much would be traded at each price level. Screen captured with data as of 8 October 2026.
    Systematic positioning with de-risk and direction-change levels
    Systematic positioning: where trend followers sit, and the price levels that would force them to cut or turn. Screen captured with data as of 8 October 2026.
    Cycle Map heatmap of growth, inflation, labour and sentiment indicators
    Cycle Map: every indicator against its own history, month by month. Screen captured with data as of 8 October 2026.

    What's inside

    Six questions, answered with evidence.

    Where is the cycle?

    GDP and inflation nowcasts, business-cycle and recession indicators, and the labour market — before the official releases.

    How it works

    What will central banks do?

    Our central-bank assessment, expected policy paths against what markets price, and where rates trade versus fair value.

    How it works

    Who is positioned where?

    Estimated positioning of trend followers and other systematic funds, futures positioning, fund flows, and how crowded each trade is.

    How it works

    What is cheap or rich?

    Systematic fair value across assets, carry and relative stretch across sectors, plus company-level assessment for covered US equities.

    How it works

    What could move markets?

    Scheduled catalysts, geopolitical event risk with market-implied probabilities, and the narratives driving prices.

    How it works

    Is market risk rising?

    Market fragility, volatility, financial conditions and liquidity around the current view.

    How it works

    Example: who is positioned where

    Estimated trend-follower positions in the largest markets, percent of maximum position
    Example from our weekly trend-follower report: estimated trend-follower positions in the largest markets, % of maximum. Data as of 25 September 2026.

    Tools that go further

    Test ideas before you act.

    Flow simulator

    See how much trend followers would buy or sell if prices rise or fall from here, and at which levels that pressure builds.

    How it works
    Distribution of estimated S&P 500 trend-follower position changes over the next ten sessions
    Example from our weekly trend-follower report: how S&P 500 trend followers' positions could change over the next ten sessions across price outcomes. Data as of 25 September 2026.

    Macro scenario simulator

    Follow a shock — an oil spike, a rate hike, a fiscal change — as it travels through households, firms, inflation and policy.

    How it works

    Narrative virality

    Which market stories are gaining attention, and where the narrative runs ahead of prices.

    How it works

    Market fragility

    How vulnerable markets are to a sharp move, beyond what volatility shows.

    How it works

    Decision Desk

    A single view that weighs macro, valuation, positioning and risk across markets, and highlights where the evidence conflicts.

    Trade Idea Check

    Bring your own view and see what supports it, what challenges it, and what would change it.

    Daily brief

    The most important changes across the economy and markets, summarised every day.

    Alongside the portal

    Research, delivered where you read.

    Written research on macro, markets and agriculture arrives by email and PDF, so it reaches you even where institutional systems block web platforms.

    Explore research

    See what Newral would tell you this week.

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